Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.371042e-03 0.001537 0.001704 0.001886 0.002076 0.002270 0.002481
2025-01-26 1.097822e-03 0.001334 0.001581 0.001856 0.002154 0.002463 0.002808
2025-02-02 8.856110e-04 0.001170 0.001478 0.001833 0.002225 0.002640 0.003111
2025-02-09 7.769798e-04 0.001107 0.001476 0.001911 0.002400 0.002927 0.003532
2025-02-16 6.438418e-04 0.001001 0.001416 0.001916 0.002489 0.003116 0.003844
2025-02-23 4.911241e-04 0.000855 0.001296 0.001843 0.002483 0.003194 0.004028
2025-03-02 3.696070e-04 0.000733 0.001193 0.001780 0.002482 0.003271 0.004209
2025-03-09 2.744332e-04 0.000631 0.001106 0.001730 0.002489 0.003355 0.004392
2025-03-16 2.058828e-04 0.000556 0.001045 0.001706 0.002523 0.003466 0.004605
2025-03-23 1.775131e-04 0.000537 0.001057 0.001770 0.002662 0.003697 0.004954
2025-03-30 1.380939e-04 0.000493 0.001030 0.001783 0.002736 0.003851 0.005212
2025-04-06 1.022874e-04 0.000446 0.000996 0.001784 0.002793 0.003983 0.005444
2025-04-13 5.001394e-05 0.000358 0.000908 0.001728 0.002803 0.004088 0.005681
2025-04-20 2.038996e-05 0.000297 0.000852 0.001714 0.002866 0.004260 0.006000
2025-04-27 3.897893e-06 0.000242 0.000799 0.001701 0.002930 0.004432 0.006323
2025-05-04 4.597744e-07 0.000227 0.000813 0.001782 0.003117 0.004757 0.006829
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000189 0.000779 0.001791 0.003208 0.004964 0.007195
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000133 0.000697 0.001723 0.003193 0.005039 0.007401
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000090 0.000626 0.001665 0.003187 0.005121 0.007615
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000057 0.000565 0.001617 0.003193 0.005216 0.007842
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000036 0.000523 0.001595 0.003231 0.005350 0.008115
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000032 0.000532 0.001658 0.003388 0.005636 0.008574
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000021 0.000512 0.001670 0.003473 0.005829 0.008918